Weblog
16 November 2025
ESO/L. CalçadaSo I obtained an e mail from Adam Reiss. You already know, the man who was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in Physics together with Saul Perlmutter and Brian Schmidt for locating the speed of cosmic growth is accelerating. He identified a couple of points with the decelerating Universe paper, and along with his permission I’d prefer to share them with you.
So let’s begin with the central claims of the unique paper. Primarily based on observations of about 300 supernovae, the authors discovered a correlation between the height brightness of Kind-Ia supernovae and the age of its host galaxy. Principally, the youthful the galaxy, the dimmer the supernova. Consequently, the authors argue, our measure of galactic distances is improper. Primarily based on their outcomes, the Universe is decelerating, which might additionally imply the usual ΛCDM is improper. Though the paper is peer reviewed, Reiss finds a few main flaws.
The primary is on the problem of galactic ages. The authors emphasize that SN-Ia mild curves don’t take the age of their host galaxies under consideration. That’s considerably true, however they do take galactic mass under consideration. Figuring out the age of a galaxy is troublesome to do. It’s additionally mannequin dependent, so the outcomes is usually a bit tweaked. Galactic mass, however, is a lot less complicated to measure.
Research have proven that the mass of a supernova’s host galaxy ought to be thought of. That is why trendy catalogs equivalent to Pantheon+ alter for mass. The explanation they don’t fear about galactic age is as a result of the age of a galaxy and its mass correlate fairly strongly. When you alter for mass, adjusting for age buys you nothing.
Since round 2010, Kind-Ia supernova catalogs all embody the mass adjustment, which additionally serves as an age proxy. For the reason that authors wished to give attention to age straight, they used older databases with out the mass adjustment. That’s a little bit of a purple flag. If you wish to disprove the present principle, don’t use outdated knowledge. However this results in the second subject, which is the connection between galaxy age and progenitor age.
The authors give attention to the measured age of the host galaxies, since that’s one thing that may be measured. They don’t give attention to the age of a supernova’s progenitor star as a result of we don’t have a great way to measure that. Within the paper, the staff makes use of galaxy age as a proxy for progenitor age, assuming that the progenitor shaped when the galaxy shaped. Thus, distant supernovae progenitors are younger, whereas the progenitors of close by supernovae are outdated. However native supernovae are sometimes present in younger star-forming areas. In reality, research counsel that Kind-Ia supernovae happen lower than a billion years after the formation of their progenitor star. In order that very foundation of their argument is shaky at greatest.
In fact, don’t take my phrase for it. Simply watch for the peer-reviewed papers that can take a look at all these points and extra. I don’t assume we’ll have to attend lengthy.
With due to Professor Reiss for his form suggestions.
